A Bayesian Evidence Synthesis for Estimating Campylobacteriosis Prevalence

Bayesian evidence for the prevalence of waterworlds

Should we expect most habitable planets to share the Earth’s marbled appearance? For a planetary surface to boast extensive areas of both land and water, a delicate balance must be struck between the volume of water it retains and the capacity of its perturbations. These two quantities may show substantial variability across the full spectrum of water-bearing worlds. This would suggest that, ba...

Bayesian melding for estimating uncertainty in national HIV prevalence estimates

OBJECTIVE To construct confidence intervals for HIV prevalence in countries with generalised epidemics. METHODS In the Bayesian melding approach, a sample of country-specific epidemic curves describing HIV prevalence over time is derived based on time series of antenatal clinic prevalence data and general information on the parameters that describe the HIV epidemic. The prevalence trends at a...

No Need for Bayes Factors: A Fully Bayesian Evidence Synthesis

Estimating Steatosis Prevalence in Overweight and Obese Children: Comparison of Bayesian Small Area and Direct Methods

Background Often, there is no access to sufficient sample size to estimate the prevalence using the method of direct estimator in all areas. The aim of this study was to compare small area’s Bayesian method and direct method in estimating the prevalence of steatosis in obese and overweight children. Materials and Methods: In this cross-sectional study, was conducted on 150 overweight and obese ...

A Bayesian approach for estimating values for prevalence and diagnostic test characteristics of porcine cysticercosis.

Several diagnostic techniques are used to estimate the prevalence of the zoonotic tapeworm Taenia solium in pigs, but none of these tests are perfect, making interpretation of results difficult. A Bayesian approach was used to estimate values for the prevalence and diagnostic test characteristic of porcine cysticercosis by combining results of four imperfect tests. Village pigs (N = 868) slaugh...